No More "Cheat Codes"…

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My son loves video games, and is actually quite good at them.
cheatcodes-halowars
When he first started actively gaming, he would often look for any “cheat codes” that might be available for the different games he wanted to play. For those not into gaming, cheat codes are special codes that a player can type in to unlock new weapons, cars, levels, etc, without having to earn them by reaching specific milestones in the game. It was a shortcut to gratification – a way to get something immediately without having to earn it.

I would always tell him that there weren’t any cheat codes in real life, and that he needed to work for the things he earned. Fortunately, he took those words to heart, and he now has a real sense of pride around the gaming accomplishments and player rank he has justly earned. And I’m really proud of him too – just less for the gaming part and more for the lesson well learned.

Unfortunately, it turns out that I was wrong about life – there are cheat codes out there.

Just look at the news. We have had a endless string of athletes disgraced by their use of performance enhancing drugs. We have politicians getting caught on a fairly regular basis because they thought they could trade the public trust for personal gain. We have Bernie Madoffs’ springing up all over the country – money managers who bilked investors out of billions of dollars to fund their lavish life styles.

And then we have the most pervasive of all offenders – people living lifestyles beyond their means. It seems like I haven’t met anyone recently that doesn’t know somebody who is way over their head in debt (or who is dealing high debt loads themselves).

How did we get into this situation?

There’s plenty of blame to go around. Partly it came from a culture that embraces consumption and material success as virtues in their own right. Partly it came from people giving in to an environment of easy credit – live the “good life” now, and worry about paying for it later. Partly it came from people leveraging the constantly rising value of their homes to fuel an otherwise unsustainable lifestyle. Some of it came from people who bought houses they couldn’t afford in the hope that they would appreciate enough in value to somehow cover them before they crashed. Part of it was from reckless policies by the government, and a financial industry all too will to oblige them.

While the specific causes may be diverse and complex, all of them have one thing in common – a desire to find a shortcut; a way to “get things” without having to work for them first. And we’re living with the consequences of that right now.

Getting out of this mess will require creativity, sacrifice and hard work. Whatever solutions we come up with, they can’t be based on somehow returning us to the path we were on before. That has proven itself to be bankrupt on so many levels, and will simply set us up for failure once again. Instead, they need to focus on building a culture and an economy that rewards risk, demands personal responsibility, and shuns recklessness.

And we all need to agree that cheat codes won’t cut it anymore…

Obama, Change, And A 'Viral Economy'…

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Today is an historic day on many levels…

For all of it’s shortcomings, one of the outstanding virtues of our political system is the way it lets us smoothly transfer power and authority from one set of elected leaders and legislators to the next. We simply take for granted something so many other countries struggle to realize – political stability.

That tradition will continue today with the swearing in of Barack Obama as the 44th President of the United States. This is certainly an historic event happening at a pivotal time for our nation:
obama-2009

While we face challenges on many fronts globally, what is probably weighing most heavily on Americans’ minds right now are the economic challenges we face right here at home. We have witnessed an incredibly rapid unraveling of our economic infrastructure, with many peoples’ dreams for the future being put on hold by a present reality of uncertainty, hardship, and fear.

Turning this around will be the first great challenge for President Barack Obama’s new administration. He is well aware of the urgency of the task in front of him, and has picked an impressive economic team to join his cabinet. They are people with both sharp minds and deep experience.

But that won’t be enough…

While it is possible to impact our economic health though things like tax policy, trade policy, and monetary policy, they are all really just tools to tune and maintain it. If we want to change the overall direction of our economy, we instead need to rebuild the intangible foundations it is built on: trust, positive sentiment, and personal security.

And those aren’t things you can simply regulate or legislate…

If the accelerating boom/bust cycles we have observed over the past decade have taught us anything, its that economic health is a viral phenomena. As things move in small steps – either positively or negatively – the zeitgeist of the moment is picked up and reported by the media. The ‘all day news cycle” amplifies it and creates a feedback loop that accelerates it along whatever path things were already moving.

We live in the age of the ‘viral economy’…

In a viral environment, a change in direction requires a countervailing event to happen – an event that dissipates momentum and flips the trend around. Our economy desperately needs this to happen. We need some kind of change to rekindle hope and optimism in the future.

That’s the only way we can pull out of the slide we are in…

Barack Obama’s rise to become our first African-American President was built on a viral wave of support inspired by his eloquent call for change. He based his entire campaign on a belief in the power of the ‘long tail’ of the American electorate – the power of individuals to create the conditions needed for change to spread and take root.

Throughout his campaign, President Obama demonstrated what can be accomplished when the power of individual initiative is catalyzed by inspirational leadership. He made people feel empowered and optimistic. He made them feel energized and open to something new and different. He challenged everybody to take responsibility and do something at a local level that – in aggregate – can impact everyone at a national level.

As a nation, we need that type of leadership now more than ever.

This is Barack Obama’s moment to inspire us again…

Best Practices In A Bad Market…

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Without a doubt, it’s a tough market out there…

I’ve been a tech entrepreneur for nearly 25 years. Over that time, I’ve seen some incredibly good markets as well as some incredibly bad ones. And while I most certainly prefer operating in a good market, I know from experience that it is possible for your business to be successful even through a downturn.

The key is to be sure you focus on the right things.

While there is no way to guarantee success in business – even in good times – here are five “best practices” that I believe can improve your odds of successfully navigating today’s choppy markets:

1. Deliver immediate, measurable value:

    People today aren’t making buying decisions based on a vague value propositions or glossy sales fliers. If you aren’t offering something that addresses real business challenges in a way that clients can benefit from right away, forget about making any near term sales.

    Realize that you aren’t selling a product – you’re selling a solution. The “product” is just the packaging the solution comes in. You need to understand in detail what a prospect is focused on now, and be able to explain in very specific ways how your company offers them the best solution to deal with it. Also remember that “value” is a function of both “capability” and “cost”. People will only be willing to pay for the specific capabilities they need regardless of what else may come packaged with it.

    You’ll need to price that capability competitively, but avoid the temptation to do whatever it takes to close a deal. Even in a down market, not all business is good business.

2. Treat existing clients like gold:

    As budgets tighten and sales cycles grow longer, every client you already have becomes even more valuable to you. While the revenue they generate for your business is a critical element of your relationship, clients also can provide a lot of value beyond that.

    First, they can offer you real market feedback on what you are doing. This can help you refine the capabilities you bring to the market, and give you a better sense of where to focus and what to prioritize. Some of the best features I’ve developed in products have come directly from client suggestions. And those features helped me win new clients.

    Another value you get from having a resume of clients is credibility. Prospective clients are much more comfortable doing business with someone that is already selling into their marketplace. The fact that others are willing to pay for your service can instill confidence in people considering doing business with you. The clients you already have are a measure of your success. And in any market, success attracts more success.

    Happy clients are also likely to recommend you to other people in the business, helping you grow by word of mouth. Referrals from satisfied clients can be powerful.

    So what do you need to do?

    I have a simple rule for taking care of clients. Stop looking for ways that they can make you successful and instead look for ways you can become an invaluable part of making them successful. Good things will follow from that.

3. Listen, listen, and listen some more:

    Talk is cheap, but listening is completely free. You need to get out and start hearing first hand the conversations going on in your marketplace. This isn’t just attending conferences and trade shows. You also need to go out in the trenches where business is actually happening. Try to understand the full range of issues people in your market are dealing with – the day to day issues as well as the macro challenges they face. Call people up and just ask for a meeting – you’d be surprised how many will say yes and be willing to talk to you!

    To make this exercise worthwhile, check your ego at the office before you head out. Don’t go out looking to justify your own perspectives and plans. Explore the outliers and seek out opposing points of view. Welcome criticism. Reality may not always be flattering, but it’s what you ultimately need to deal with if you want to be successful.

    Be open to being wrong, and willing to make adjustments. Talk less and listen more.

4. Grow your “contact footprint”:

    The more conversations you have going on in the market place, the better your chances of finding new opportunities and closing new business. It’s the basis for most marketing, and ultimately a matter of statistics. So does that mean you should your start sending out mass emails and printing out product brochures?

    Hardly! People just tune that out, especially in a tight market.

    The key here is to aggressively network. Scour through your contacts looking for potential opportunities. Leverage sites like LinkedIn to target people you’d like to reach and looks for ways on- and off-line to get introduced to them. Become involved in industry groups and organizations that improve your odds of connecting with people that can help you. Reach out to relatives, friends, and even fellow commuters – they can all be sources of leads and opportunities.

    If you’re thinking that this is standard operating procedure for everyone on your sales team, you’d probably (hopefully!) be right. The point here is that networking like this isn’t something that just sales should be doing. Programmers, secretaries, administrators, and managers – people at all levels within your company – have something of value to contribute here, and you need to find ways to capture it.

    You need to develop a “networking culture” across your entire organization. Reward people that bring in new opportunities or open doors to difficult to reach prospects. Make it a habit to brainstorm as teams for new, specific opportunities. Challenge people to make creative suggestions.

    Most people tend to do what is expected of them, so create an expectation here. If you’re not tapping into the networking value of everyone in your company, you’re leaving money on the table.

5. Sell to markets and relationships, not just to customers:

    All of your customers have customers of their own and are looking at ways to strengthen those relationships. They face competitive pressures that drive their priorities and create unique demands. They have partners they work with, and suppliers they depend on. In short, your customers are members of a complex business/social network.

    So go beyond just selling to them as if they were isolated entities.

    Approach the market the same way an M&A firm does. Look for opportunities that exist between various people or various companies and start selling both side of it. Look for compelling combinations of content or capabilities that are being sold independently, and find ways to package them for customers that can increases their value or reduce their integration costs.

    You’ll find opportunities like this in every market once you start looking for them.

    While these types of opportunities may be more complex to pull together than ‘single client sales’, they do offer some meaningful advantages. These “strategic sales” can let you leverage the selling power of other individuals or organizations, extending your reach and helping you grow more quickly than you could on your own. Many of them can having multiple revenue streams associated with them, making them more dependable sources of income. These types of deals also become ‘stickier’ for clients since the cost of unwinding them tends to be much higher than the cost of replacing just a single vendor. You’ll also find that deals based on relationships between a firm and its clients can be less price sensitive then deals done directly with one firm. They are also less likely to be unwound when times get tough.

    Exploring opportunities like these should become a component of your overall selling strategy.

Hopefully, these “best practices” will inspire you think more creatively about things you can do to optimize your own business. I’ve tried to make each one specific enough to be meaningful, but general enough to remain relevant to most corporations. That said, there’s no “one size fits all” when it comes to running a business.

The title of this post not withstanding, I think the points I’ve made here are applicable during both good and bad times. I’m visiting them now because bad times can be a lot less forgiving, and demand that we pay a lot more attention to the business decisions we need to make. Good times have the grace to cover a multitude of sins.

To wrap up, I’d like to share two quotes that I think really capture the spirit of what it takes to be successful, regardless of the market:

      “I’d rather be lucky than good.”

      – Lefty Gomez

      “The harder I work, the luckier I get.”

      – Samuel Goldwyn

There’s a lot of wisdom packed in a those few simple words…

Good Luck!…

Jim Cramer Discusses RIM…

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Jim Cramer doesn’t have much good to say about Research In Motion…

In this clip from TheStreet.Com, Jim Cramer discusses what is happening to RIM given their announcement last night that 3rd quarter revenue was going to fall below their own projections for the quarter:

One really interesting point Jim makes is that the Blackberry has become commoditized, and no longer commands a premium in the market. It has become ubiquitous in both business and consumer circles and the cachet of having one has dissipated. They are no longer “the in” device to pull out of your purse or pocket.

But that’s only part of the story…

My personal view here is that RIM is following roughly same trajectory that Palm has taken. It sat on it’s technological lead way too long only to find that it’s franchise market – mobile corporate email – had been successfully challenged by Apple with the iPhone 3G. The proprietary infrastructure RIM was counting on to cement their position in the market failed them. (The same infrastructure they needed to pay NTP $600M for to settle patent claims just over two years ago!) The less than stellar debut of their highly anticipated touch screen ‘Blackberry Storm’ was really the tipping point in the market, convincing many that RIM was no longer the leader and innovator in this market.

But with all that being said, Apple shouldn’t get too cocky. Leadership in technology markets can be a fleeting thing, and a even a single misstep can be severely damaging.

If RIM can fall out of favor, it can happen to anyone…

Time To CTRL-ALT-DEL The Auto Industry…

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The US auto industry is really hurting right now…

General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler have all been seriously impacted by the combined credit crunch and economic slowdown we are going through right now.

Ford’s miserable performance last quarter – an operating loss of over $3 Billion – places it at the top of a sad lot. General Motors is running out of cash and teetering on the edge of bankruptcy, and Daimler AG has just declared its 19.9% share in Chrysler to be a deprecated asset and valued it at zero.

And everyone expects it to only get worse going forward…

The solution many seem to be clamoring for – some type of financial bailout from Washington – simply isn’t going to solve anything. The most pressing problems faced by the auto industry aren’t temporary – they are core structural problems:

  • Current labor contracts prevent market forces from working.
  • Fully loaded labor costs per automobile are too large.
  • There are way too many dealerships.

Having access to fresh capital won’t help the industry address any of these issues. And any solution that keeps the status quo in place there will only end up delaying the inevitable. As draconian as it may seem, I believe that the only viable path forward for the auto industry today is to hit the RESET button.

They will need to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy…

Why so drastic a step?

The automotive industry needs to reinvent itself from the ground up. It needs to be lean and agile. It needs to be optimized and efficient. It needs to begin thinking like a high technology industry that’s driven by innovation and change, not like a manufacturing industry that thrives on predictability and process stagnation.

Unfortunately, the contractual framework the auto industry is currently forced to operate under will not allow this to happen. It’s the product of a time that no longer exists, and it threatens the viability of the auto industry going forward. It cannot be simply renegotiated around the edges. The changes needed for survival are too sweeping to be shoehorned into the framework the existing contracts are built around.

Voiding them is probably the only way the industry can begin to rebuild itself.

But then what? What should a new 21st century auto industry should focus on if it whats to be successful? While there are probably tons of things that need to be addressed, I see them falling into three main categories:

  1. Intellectual Property Competitive advantage will depend in large part on the underlying assets that can be built into a car. These will cover a range of areas from intelligent/adaptive control systems to engine and power sources technologies. This will be as much about developing intelligent software as it is about advances in material sciences, chemistry, and physics. The challenges offered in this space could end up attracting some of the best and brightest to this industry. It should be one of the highest priorities for investment.
  2. Standards Development Not every component that goes into a car needs to be unique. There are certain commodity components that could be shared across manufactures without compromising the uniqueness of their particular car designs. From fasteners and seals, to embedded processors, to common structural sub components, there are savings to be had in this area. Reducing the number of unique components simplifies parts inventory and assembly line tooling requirements.

    But this shouldn’t be just about physical components.

    A transformed auto industry will be built as much on software as on hardware. Creating standards based interfaces that work across the numerous software components of a car’s design will also become important. With the level of processor performance available today, real time control systems can effectively be designed using a service oriented software architecture to abstract details of the physical devices being managed. This will allow for the development of reusable software components that can be leveraged across car lines – or even be open sourced in more commodity based component areas. Overall, this can reduce testing and production costs, simplify the assembly of new configurations, facilitate integration of new capabilities into existing product lines, and accelerate the introduction of new models and technologies.

  3. Assembly Optimization You would be hard pressed to find a prosperous technology company that completely assembles their own consumer products. It makes little sense for most of them to tie up the massive capital necessary to in-source this part of their business. To be successful, the auto industry needs the ability to scale production up or down rapidly in response to market demand (to better aligning their costs with their revenues), to rapidly shift production capacity to new areas when new market opportunities present themselves, and to leverage their capital in those parts of the business that will ultimately create the most value for them. While politically unpopular, this will most likely require a major change in the way the industry approaches product assembly, bringing it more in line with the way other technology industries operate.

At the end of the process, the auto industry will no doubt look substantially different. There may even be some totally new business models and ecosystems that spring up around it. For example:

  • If cars are built more around standards and software, I could see more revenue coming to the industry through updates and subscriptions – some software only, and some software and hardware. People could even purchase new features long after they purchase a new car. (Think iPhone like interfaces driven by software applications.)
  • I could even see some “manufacturers” getting out of the end production part of the business entirely to focus on the high value component end of the business. This could create an opportunity for new ‘down stream’ car companies to form that license and assemble these components under their own brands.

The industry simply needs to break with the past and be open to thinking differently about the opportunities and markets they can address in the future. Innovation on a business level is as important as innovation on a product level.

It’s what will distinguish the real leaders in this market from everyone else.

While the changes that need to happen in the auto industry are going to be painful in the near term, I see them as an unfortunate but necessary precursor to it becoming a growing, revenue and job producing industry once again. It clearly won’t be easy for the major auto makers to transform themselves, but nothing worth achieving ever is.

A government bailout of the status quo will only make things worse…