Owning The Low Ground…

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You never want the low ground in a battle – unless you’re fighting for marketshare in the operating system space…

If you produce an OS, being the guy at the bottom is key. You want to control the user’s experience completely, connecting all the way from the applications at the top down to the physical hardware at the bottom. It’s a position of power and control – a position that Microsoft was able leverage to become the most pervasive operating systems vendor on the planet. And it was considered one of the most defensible positions you could have in the marketplace.

Until virtualization came along…

Virtualization creates a software emulation of a machine environment, allowing a single machine to appear like multiple systems. This allows users to maximize their investment in hardware, and provides a more redundant environment for applications to run in. And it lives between the operating system and the hardware.

It becomes the machine the OS runs on…

It is operating system independent, working equally well with Linux, Windows, or OS X. And because it sits right next to the hardware and provides virtual functionality to whatever OS it is hosting, it’s a footprint that can support many high value services.

Services that traditionally lived inside the operating system…

This could include things like sophisticated virus protection, firewalls, identity/security validation, automatic failovers, clustering, and storage virtualization. And unlike in the operating systems market, the big player in this space isn’t Microsoft. It’s a company owned by EMC called VMWare.

vmware-logo.gifAs virtualization technology gains in popularity, it could end up competing with operating systems in many of the high end functionality areas. These are the areas that have the highest value in the marketplace. With maturity of the technology, VMWare and other virtualization vendors could pose a serious challenge to traditional operating system providers. This would be especially true in the datacenter space, where maximizing utilization and redundancy are critical factors. The last thing a Microsoft – or even an Apple – would want to see is a comoditization of their server operating systems.

And that is exactly what virtuialization can do…

Given the threat posed by this technology, Microsoft does plan on launching a a virtualization capability of it’s own (Viridian), but is packaging it inside Windows Vista Server. This will be the third front Microsoft will be focusing on, along with the traditional competion coming from an ever improving Linux, and the rising threat from pure play web solutions like those offered by Google.

And all of these threats are real…

Linux – combined with virtualization – is clearly a viable, cost effective solution for datacenters. And web based solutions effectively address many of the needs found in small and medium sized businesses. Combine this with a newly emergent Apple in the consumer space, and it’s clear that competition is alive and well in the operating system space.

It doesn’t look like Microsoft will catch a break any time soon…

"Google Apps" Premier – Microsoft's Real Challenge…

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Last year, Google launched a suite of online office applications called Google Apps…

google-apps.gif Google Apps is an ad supported service that includes IM and email, along with a calendar app, word processor, spreadsheet, web page editor, and personalized portal home page. Despite being fairly basic functionality wise, these applications take advantage of their web pedigree by being natively collaborative with anyone you choose to work with. That is a powerful capability that would normally require significant IT involvement to configure with any of the desktop office suites. It requires a simple configuration when delivered as a service.

Yesterday, Google took the next step in the evolution of these applications.

Google Apps – Premier Edition…

While there will be a lot of talk about how this service has uptime guarantees, or no ads, or five times the storage compared to the free version – the bigger piece of the story is found behind the scenes.

The “Premier” version of Google Apps has an open API that lets all of these components integrate into a corporate environment. Firms can integrate with internal directories to create a ‘single sign-on’ environment. They can take advantage of third party services (eg.-email archiving) that extend the capabilities of the base service. They are also able to channel GMail messages through a corporate email gateway – a requirement for auditability and compliance in some firms.

These capabilities are the keys that will let Google Apps move beyond individuals and smaller businesses, and get into some of the mid-sized organizations that love the administrative simplicity and web ubiquity of services based applications, but find themselves choosing internal applications because they need to be managed as part of a bigger infrastructure.

This positions Google to start approaching this market effectively…

office2007logo.pngIt is clear that Google is committed to building out this aspect of their business, and establishing themselves in a product area that is now dominated by Microsoft’s Office suite. Office is one of Microsoft’s main revenue engines, and they are in the process of rolling out their latest release – Office 2007. And while Microsoft also offers an online service called Office Live, it is designed as a set of web tools that compliment the capabilities found in their desktop suite. It isn’t a web based version of Office’s applications.

Success in this space will require patience from Google, but they are on the right side of the marketplace approach-wise. The transition to a services based delivery model for many business applications is well underway. It will be further accelerated by the increasingly distributed nature of corporations through mergers, outsourcing and telecommuting. Even the largest corporations have shown a willingness to embrace web based applications when they make sense – just look at the success of Salesforce.com. I see this as no longer being a question of ‘if’, but one of ‘when’.

Microsoft has the corporate footprint, web expertise, and product understanding necessary to blunt Google’s ambitions in this space. But they are lacking one critical thing.

Flexibility…

Microsoft is like any other global public company. They need to protect the revenue they get from their current products, or suffer the wrath of their investors. And Office represents a massive amount of revenue to Microsoft. This will pressure them into preserving an ‘end-of-life’ model with Office, and could give a competitor like Google the time to establish itself as a credible professional alternative.

Service delivered software is absolutely disruptive. It changes the cost structure not just of the applications being delivered, but also of the structural/organizational aspects needed to support these applications. Microsoft needs to embrace this, and accept the fact that a previously lucrative component of their business may become less so. If they don’t, they risk losing in a big way.

The way WordPerfect lost when Windows came along…

iConcertCal: An Interesting Mashup…

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I love creative and useful mashups…

I recently found one that is really interesting – iConcertCal. It is a plugin for iTunes that looks at the music you have in your library and gives you a calendar of upcoming concerts in your area from any artists/bands it finds.

It uses multiple sources on the web to identify new concerts, acting as a specialized web crawler to discover details of the events.

It works with iTunes on both Mac’s and PC’s, but unfortunately doesn’t have an export feature to iCal, Outlook, or another external calendar program. Hopefully that will be added soon.

It’s worth a look: http://www.iconcertcal.com/

Vista Officially Launches At Midnight…

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Vista has been available to corporations for a few months already…

If you had a corporate software subscription or were part of one of Microsoft’s developer plans, you had the chance to install and run Vista. But it was not available for sale to the general public.

That will now be changing…

microsoft-windows-vista-box.jpgCome midnight tonight, Vista will be launched into the retail channel. Anyone that wants a copy will now be able to go out and buy it. In fact, just for those desperately lacking a life, both Best Buy and CompUSA will have special openings at midnight tonight to start selling copies.

The success of both Vista and Microsoft’s new Office 2007 software suite are critical to Microsoft. They are looking to get some momentum started by having a product launch celebration that will be webcast live from Times Square in NYC. This event will feature Bill Gates, and will start at 4:45pm (EST). You can catch the event here: 550K 220K (UPDATE: These links now show a recorded version of the event)

The feature set for Vista has changed quite a bit over the years. Microsoft showed off many of their original concepts for Vista in this ‘aspirational’ video from 2002:

Even superficially, it was clearly ambitious. You can see some of the basic concepts that made it into Vista in one form or another, and also some of the functionality that ended up being lost when Microsoft decided to cut the new Windows File System (WinFS) out of this initial release. What’s obvious is that Vista is still a work in progress.

It will be interesting to see what it looks like when all the functionalty is finally there…